Saturday, November 15, 2008

Top four games

Clay is in black this week, Oz in blue.

4. Dallas @ Washington (+1.5) I don't like the Skins here without Portis. I don't really like Dallas either, but I think they'll be a little better with Romo playing. This is always a tough division to pick because, really, any team can beat the other. Well, except the Giants.

Dallas -1.5

I don’t know what to think here. Dallas was favored by double digits at home last time. The Washington offense looks like crap again, and Portis isn’t healthy. Romo is going to be back, but will he be rusty. The Cowboys need this game big time, but Washington needs to get back on track too. This is a huge game between big rivals that seem to play each other tough no matter where each team stands at the time. If Brad Johnson hadn’t been so terrible, Romo would probably be taking this week off too. Damn, this is a shot in the dark for me. Washington won on the road last time and Romo was healthy, and they get no respect at home.

Skins +1.5

3. Baltimore @ New York Giants (-6.5) I'm not picking against the Giants again this season until the prove me wrong that they're the best team in the league. Should be a great game here. Lots of hitting. It'd be interesting to see the Giants runningbacks against the Raven defense. I remember I used to hate watching the Giants play (this was up until this year actually). Now they're fun to watch. I'm going to go hammer a nail through my hand now.

Giants -6.5

I think this game is rated too high, but there aren’t too many interesting matchups this week. I get bored thinking about this game, then again, the Giants have been fun to watch and the Ravens have been putting up points too. I still haven’t gotten on the Ravens wagon, but they have an awesome run D, and its about time to give Flacco some respect. The Giants are playing just about the best football, and I think they give Flacco some trouble. Eli is going to have to get it done on offense, and the Ravens could definitely force some mistakes here. I almost want to take Baltimore because I don’t know if the Giants can run on them and I don’t trust Eli, but the Giants just look really good here, and I don’t think the Ravens are a contender, so why would they take it to the defending champs in New York?

Giants -6.5

2. San Diego @ Pittsburgh (-4.5) reat game for #2. Yes, I'm being sarcastic. I guess knowing what we know now, the Pats-Jets would probably be #1, but that's all I'm going to say about that game. Anyway, I'm pretty sure the Steelers are better than the Chargers, but at the same time, San Diego typically only plays well against good teams. I'll go with my gut here. Do the Chargers miss Michael Turner? You know, since the best back in the NFL can only play on first and second down? (That's crap, by the way)

Pittsburgh -4.5

Pays to be the guy that ranks the game. Can the Chargers turn it around? The Chargers biggest weakness has been their pass rush and the Steelers biggest weakness has been their pass protection. I truly believe that if the Chargers woke up and could put pressure on QBs, all their problems would be solved. The secondary is good, but no one can cover receivers for five minutes and that is what’s happening. A couple of sacks, and some rushed throws and you start creating more turnovers and less wide open receivers. It really is that simple, so maybe this is the game for the defense to get some momentum. Then again, maybe Roethlisburger picks them apart and their number one defense picks off Rivers in the end zone like he seems to do every week.

Steelers -4.5

1. Chicago @ Green Bay (-3 that is a guess, no line yet) I told you that I got really drunk watching the game last night. When I asked you for advice, you suggested I just start to drink again. I really like your attitude, Clay. Have I ever told you that? Now, per your advice, I'm having a Bud and my headache is quickly disappearing. God bless this country. I wouldn't be able to do this in Iraq. Speaking of which, since we have a socialist president now, do I have to give away my beer too? I mean, I know I have to share, ooops, redistribute, my money. What about my beer? How does this work?

Chicago +3

That depends on how much beer you have. If you have over 200 beers then you will have to share, otherwise you are good.

I think the line actually came out at 3.5, but we will stick with this because I like it more. I don’t know if Orton is playing or not, if Rex is playing the Pack should dominate, and I will change them to my starting defense instead of the Giants, maybe I should anyway? I don’t know, I still like the Packsers and I still don’t like the Bears. The Bears have something like the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. Don’t you think the Packers will take advantage of that? Can Forte beat the Packers? Maybe. Personally, I am probably staying away from this one unless Rex is starting. If he is in there I would take the Pack -9.

Packers -3

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