Saturday, November 8, 2008

Week 9 picks


Brett Favre still wears Wrangler jeans ... and Clay and Oz both know someone who is turned on by this picture. He's not even gay.

Just Clay with the analysis this week; Oz will be back next week for the picks. His picks are in blue.

13. Jacksonville @ Detroit (+6.5)

Jacksonville -6.5

Detroit has the worst run D in the league, so I think Jacksonville should finally get something done on offense. Meanwhile, the Lions traded Orlovsky for Dante Culpepper, who was never really good, and now he is old. He was the worst QB in the league last year, and I don’t think a little extra time off will help. Jacksonville gets a much needed blowout here.

Jags -6.5

12. Seattle @ Miami (-8)

Miami -8

Seattle still doesn’t have Hasselbeck back, and they can’t seem to do much of anything well. They have never been good on the road, and Miami is quietly one of the better teams in the NFL. I don’t think this is close after the first quarter.

Miami -8

11. Carolina @ Oakland (+9.5)

Oakland +9.5

At first I was thinking this was too many points. I love taking Oakland at home as a big dog because even when losing they usually keep it close. Not this team. They seem to be giving up and have been blown out two straight weeks. Now they drop their big off season free agent, much to the surprise of the rest of the team “I don’t know why the would cut our best player.” Do you think they have any motivation to be good right now? I don’t and Carolina is damn good at home.

Panthers -9.5

10. Kansas City @ San Diego (-15)

Kansas City +15

This one is tough. As a Chargers fan I expect the team to come out of the bye fiery. They have a new, proven Defensive Coordinator and LT should be in good shape after a long rest against a terrible, terrible run defense. KC on the other hand has shown some life the last couple of weeks, still trying even though they are really bad. Those were both at home, though. Can the Chargers win by three scores? They are more than capable of it. Under Marty, they don’t cover this. The way I see it, if the defense plays really well, then we blow them out, right? If they play poorly, then the offense never shuts down to prevent a comeback and they run up the score. Either way, it’s a blowout against a team with a shitty offense and a shitty defense.

Chargers -15

9. San Francisco @ Arizona (-9.5)

Arizona -9.5 ... this is an over game, huh?

Yes, especially the Arizona team total. San Francisco is not good, and Arizona is looking like a division winner. I don’t think it is ever close here, sorry but I am all favorites so far.

Cardinals -9.5

8. St Louis @ NYJ (-9)

St. Louis +9

Until now. I think the Jets are over rated. They will not win the AFC East, and they will not make the playoffs. Their offense struggles to move the ball too often, and their pass defense is a liability. They got a good win on the road last week, but that was against another overrated team. If the Rams can get the ball moving in the air they have a great shot at winning this won, let alone keeping in under double digits. I am betting against the Jets here more than on the rams (who I still think is a decent team).

Rams +9

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