Week 12 picks are here. Sorry so late. Clay in blue, Oz in black. We're both 1-0 headed into the weekend.6. Carolina @ Atlanta (-1)
I guess Atlanta deserves the respect, this division has been a win at home division. The Panthers look like crap recently against crappy teams. They should have their way on offense, but the Atlanta offense doesn’t seem to be fazed by anyone lately. Personally, I don’t think that Delhomme plays bad three weeks in a row, and I don’t think that Atlanta is better then Carolina. Carolina plays defense, Atlanta doesn’t.
Panthers +1
The Falcons are a pretty good team. This division is much more competitive than I thought it would be, too. As good as Matt Ryan is, he's going to have a tough time against the Carolina defense, which will mean Michael Turner will have to take over. Not easy against a solid defense. The Panthers will do just enough to win here. It won't be a blowout, but I'd take the points.
Panthers +1
5. Green Bay @ New Orleans
Wow, New Orleans finally got a win…at Kansas City. The Saints aren’t very good and the Packers are. The Packers play defense, they run the ball (Ryan Grant has surfaced this month) and they have a good passing offense. The Saints may be getting Reggie back this week, but he won’t be 100% and the packers are the better team here. Drew Brees is the kind of player who can keep his team in just about any game, so I can’t say I’d be surprised if the won this one at home, but I think the Packers are the better team.
Pack +2.5
The Packers are the better team here. It looked like (ready for my best Tim McCarver impression?) other teams were going to have to outscore the Saints in order to win, but that's settled down a little bit. Now everyone who has called Reggie Bush a bust, can they talk shit anymore? Since he got hurt the Saints have been awful. Just saying. You can say he's an injury-prone pussy, but at least he's not a bum.
Packers +2.5
4. New England @ Miami
So the new offense that demolished the Patriots in week 3 or something, and the offense succeeded for maybe a month afterward. Lately they can’t do anything on offense, and they squeaked out two wins the past two weeks against two of the worst teams in the NFL. I know Belichick tends to do better against teams for the second time, and this offense has definitely been figured out by everyone else already. I think the Patriots breeze through Miami, and they won’t be scared to run up the score this week if it comes down to it.
Patriots +2
I agree on many things here, especially the part about Belichick's success against a team the second time around. I wish I knew the record actually. I think the Patriots are feeling a sense of urgency here especially because they are now behind the eight-ball when it comes to the playoffs. They're in second place in the division and have lost to the Colts, who have the same record. The Pats have a tougher road to the playoffs and can't afford to lose this game.
Patriots +2
3. New York Jets @ Tennessee
We both thought this would be 3, but we also both thought we would bet our lives against it. It isn’t much higher, but 5 eliminates the touchdown for field goal trade. Two weeks running the Titans’ opponent has stacked the box and dared Kerry Collins to beat them. And he did. The Jets won’t have to stack the box because they have one of the top run defenses in the league, so will that be enough to slow this offense? Maybe. I don’t trust their secondary, though, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Favre make some poor decisions under pressure. This seems like a decent matchup for the Titans to lose their first against a confident team with enough playmakers on offense, and the right defense to pull it off. I don’t think they do, but this seems like a possibility.
Titans -5
The Titans will lose this week. It's going to kill me because I don't want to listen to people talking about Brett Favre being the best ever quarterback and even if Tom Brady wasn't injured that Favre might still be the best QB in the AFC. Tennessee is going to have a lot of pressure lifting off them this weekend. They'll lose, then relax, and stroll into the playoffs at 14-2 and I still can't name seven guys on their team.
Jets +5
2. Indianapolis @ San Diego
Let’s see, the Chargers have a terrible pass defense, and Peyton Manning is coming into town riding a winning streak. That is scary. The Chargers have had the Colts number the last few years, and have done so by putting lots of pressure on Peyton and picking off his hurried throws. This year the Chargers have no pass rush, so I don’t see that happening. This could be a shootout, because I don’t expect the Chargers to lie down, but I don’t expect them to stop the colts offense either. As a Charger fan, I am setting my expectations very low. As a gambler, I am thinking this is an effing great line.
Colts +3
Is everyone ready for a Manning versus Manning Super Bowl? Because that is what is going to happen. Colts are hot. Big win.
Colts +3
1. New York Giants @ Arizona
Arizona is pretty legit. Even though Seattle isn’t very good, that is never an easy place to play. Their offense is going to get theirs against anyone, and their defense has been respectable. The problem here is that the Giants not only are 20 points better then every other NFC West team, they are better then every NFL team. Their pass rush is going to make Kurt Warner dance, and that is never a good thing. I think the Giants bring too much firepower here. The defense will be the best they have faced, and the offense will be one of the better too. As long as Eli doesn’t blow this, the Giants should win the turnover battle and the game.
Giants -3
What's all this talk about Kurt Warner being the NFL's MVP? You have to give it to Brandon Jacobs. It's unbelievable. Why can't people see that Jacobs is the best player on the best team? This is staggering. We'll see how tough Warner is this weekend against the G-Men.
Does is come across that we're Giants fans, do you think? We have them ranked number one every week. We're not Giants fans. In fact, I hate the Giants. I represent everything for which I have unaffected scorn. But it's easy money betting on them.
Giants -3
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